Wednesday, December 15, 2010

ATS Bowl Predictions for 12/18: Will BYU Crush UTEP In New Mexico?

FORT WORTH, TX - OCTOBER 16: Quarterback Jake Heaps  of the Brigham Young University Cougars throws a pass against the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs at Amon G. Carter Stadium on October 16, 2010 in Fort Worth, Texas. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)89-83 is how the Lady ended the college football season. The goal was to get above .500—mission accomplished. Now, it's time to go bowling and the record starts anew.

The first week of bowl season starts on Saturday afternoon as BYU takes on the The University of Texas-El Paso (UTEP) in New Mexico at high noon.

Admittedly, UTEP hasn't been seen very much—aside from an epic walloping they sustained at the hand of Houston—so there is little to be said about how good or bad they truly are this season.

That said, bowl games, particularly those played after several weeks of rest and against an unknown conference, tend to be full of drama. So, UTEP has just as much of an opportunity to win this game as BYU does. Even still, the late season turnaround by the Cougars gives them the edge here.

Jake Heaps began to gain confidence towards the end of his freshman season and seemed more comfortable in the Cougar's offense. He will be their biggest asset this weekend as the game will be won or lost on his play.

That said, let's jump right in with my spread picks for the following games—of which there are three. All lines appear courtesy of VegasInsider.com:

December 18th 

1. BYU vs. UTEP, New Mexico Bowl: BYU (-11.5)

The  Cougars woke up mid-season and showed signs that 2011 would be a much better campaign than 2010.  The Miners have suffered their most crushing losses at the hands of teams with good passing quarterbacks—their secondary cannot keep up. BYU should cruise in this one.

The Lady's Pick: BYU to cover

2. Northern Illinois at Fresno State, Humanitarian Bowl: Northern Illinois (-1.5)

Honestly, if nothing else, the weather will play a huge role in this game. There is plenty of reason to doubt the effectiveness of the Bulldogs in a game where the possibility of snow looms large, against a team with a better than average defense.

The Lady's Pick: Northern Illinois to cover

3. Ohio at Troy, New Orleans Bowl: Troy (-1.5)

You may as well toss a coin to pick this game but, since that's too lame a thing to do, lets just go on history—the MAC plays well against the Sun Belt (4-1). Troy might be favored in  what is likely to be a close game, but go with Ohio.

The Lady's Pick: Ohio to cover





No comments:

Post a Comment